Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula: Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds for the Tennis match

Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula: Prediction for the Match on November 02, 2025

Coco‍‌‍‍‌ Gauff is entering the 2025 WTA Finals full of hardcourt dominance. Her amazing speed and improved forehand have been the main factors of her 2 Grand Slams—2023 US Open and 2025 French Open—along with 3 WTA 1000 finals, the last one being Wuhan where she beat Pegula in straight sets. The 21-year-old American who is holding No. 3 spot is likely to defeat her doubles partner-turned-rival in Riyadh, as per 1xbet odds, with 1.536 being Gauff's winning odds and 2.595 for Pegula. This Group A opener goes beyond the friendship; It's Gauff's title defense after she surprisingly defeated Swiatek and Sabalenka on her way to the Zheng epic last year, and Pegula's revenge opportunity after being the runner-up in 2023 but making an early exit in 2024.

There is a possibility of Top-3 and Turin legend for either player: Gauff could be the one to follow Serena's footsteps in winning the Finals consecutively, while Pegula could be the first American-led sweep of the Finals.

Indoor 2025: Gauff 9-1, Pegula 6-3” (WTA).

Gauff's indoor advantage helps her to achieve 51.5% of the second-serve returns (Tennis Abstract), thereby drastically lowering Pegula's 64% first-serve hold. One can say that Pegula showed a lot of toughness in the Wuhan semifinal where she defeated Sabalenka in a three-set match for the eighth time in a row; however, the hard finals of the Gauff vs. Pegula series indicate that the latter is in control. Fans, wait for the all-American baseline wars under the lights; bettors, Gauff's momentum is indicating a straight-sets victory, although Pegula's determination may result in a decider and Group A being more ‍‌‍‍‌competitive.

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🇺🇸 Coco Gauff: Form and Statistics

Her‍‌‍‍‌ 2025 rise in French Open clay domination to Wuhan hard court annihilation merely highlights the fact that Coco Gauff combines raw power with game intelligence and a very impressive 9-0 hard final streak that came up very handy after she had an Australian nine-match winning streak. The Floridian, a two-time major champion and former doubles No. 1 with Pegula, is unstoppable on indoor hard, her movement being a quick change of pace from defense to offense—perfect for the speed of Riyadh.

The Florida-born had her best matches in China in Wuhan: second-round bagel of Uchijima 6-1, 6-0 and then d. Zhang Shuai 6-3, 6-2 in R16, Siegemund 6-2, 6-3 in QF, Paolini 6-4, 6-3 in SF, and finally winning the title against Pegula 6-4, 7-5—no sets dropped, only 28 games lost in total.

Last 5 indoors: W-W-W-W-W (d. Paolini 6-4,6-3; Siegemund 6-2,6-3)." That perfect Wuhan run closed her indoor winning streak at 11 since the 2024 Finals, according to the WTA.

quote: "Gauff, 12 Oct post-Wuhan final: 'Beating Jess in the final? We push each other—Riyadh defense starts with that fire'" (WTA presser). Tactical edge vs. Pegula? Forehand guns breaking backhand slices; in the last two of their straight-set H2B encounters, Gauff converted 49% of break points (Tennis Abstract).

X insight: @TheTennisLetter Oct 11: "Gauff's Wuhan SF vs. Paolini? 11 consecutive breaks turned—now Pegula final? Engine revved."

Another: @josemorgado Oct 12: "All-American Wuhan F: Gauff's 9th hard final without a loss, Pegula's revenge? H2H 4-3 her way, but the streak says no."

Prop angles: Over 7.5 games for Gauff @ 1.80 (74% hard win rate), Gauff 2-0 sets @ 2.10—her 82% first-set indoor holds dominate.

Hard YTD: 29-10. Stakes? The Riyadh repeat writes multi-Finals lore, a top-3 fortress, mid-season redemption—Gauff's defending.

🇺🇸 Jessica Pegula: Form and Statistics

Jessica‍‌‍‍‌ Pegula kept grinding the title at the WTA 2025 with a very admirable record of 50-19 year to date. Three trophies – at the clay of Charleston, the grass of Bad Homburg, and the hard of Austin – are the shining points of her all-surface savvy and backhand whip, which led to an eight-time major QF ledger thus making her the No. 5 post-US Open semis. The 31-year-old New Yorker, who is a doubles Slammer with Gauff, manages to keep her indoor hard game going through her steadiness, as evidenced by her 61.4% first-serve points won (Tennis Abstract), although this was challenged by Riyadh's zip. Her Wuhan run was a scene of power and determination: d. Baptiste 6-4, 4-6, 7-6(6) in R2, Alexandrova 7-5, 3-6, 6-3 in R3, Siniakova 2-6, 6-0, 6-3 in QF, Sabalenka 2-6, 6-4, 7-6(2) in SF—she has now won eight consecutive three-set matches, with this being her ninth of the year.

Last 5 indoors: W-W-W-W-L (d. Sabalenka 2-6,6-4,7-6(2); Siniakova 2-6,6-0,6-3).”

Pegula’s 6-3 indoor run also accounts for her Beijing semis (l. Noskova from match points up), where she conceals a 38% break rate against the top-5 (Tennis Abstract).

Timestamped quote: “Pegula, 11 Oct post-Wuhan SF: ‘From 2-5 down vs. Aryna? That’s my fight—Coco final? All in’” (WTA interview).

Cross-court forehands targeting Gauff’s second serve, as in her four H2H wins where 62 forced errors were the average, may be the answer.

X insight: @TennisChannel Oct 10: “Pegula's 8th straight 3-setter? 7-1 record—Wuhan Sabalenka miracle locks Finals.”

Timestamped quote: @SK__Tennis Oct 30: “Pegula H2H 4-3 over Gauff, but indoors? Counterpunch flips the streak.”

Prop angles: Pegula +2.5 games @ 2.068 (55.8% game win rate), over 21.5 games @ 1.885 if rallies are long. Hard YTD: 35-12.

Stakes explode: Stunner reclaims H2H, top-5 stronghold, semis surge—Pegula's no sidekick; she's the vet ‍‌‍‍‌hurricane.

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