Opta increase Liverpool's Champions League qualification chances to 50.78% after Forest

Liverpool and Nottingham Forest clashed in a Premier League meeting on Sunday, and Arne Slot’s side won 1-0.

The Reds went into the fixture knowing that they really needed to take advantage of Chelsea dropping points the day prior.

Manchester United, who began the weekend in fourth, are also not in league action until Monday evening when they face Everton.

Surely there’s no way back to Salah’s best from here?

A new record drought in the Premier League…

As a result, beating Nottingham Forest saw Liverpool move level on points with both of the aforementioned teams for the time being.

Liverpool’s Champions League qualification chances increase after Nottingham Forest

Arne Slot’s side may have remained sixth in the actual Premier League table for the time being, but Opta predict they will end the season higher.

After their last league clash with Sunderland, Liverpool’s Champions League chances were 33.04%.

However, the latest prediction from the supercomputer gives them a 50.78% chance of making it into Europe’s premier cup competition for the 2026/27 campaign.

MORE LIVERPOOL STORIES

Slot’s side are predicted a fourth place finish, while Man Utd are backed to finish fifth and Chelsea sixth.

Michael Carrick’s men, at least until they play Everton, have a 31.86% chance of finishing in a Champions League place, while the Blues’ chances have dropped to 24.56%.

Change my mind Rio Ngumoha was Liverpool’s star man despite barely playing vs Forest

Can anyone take the MOM award off him? Have your say!

Liverpool, Manchester United and Chelsea’s end-of-season Premier League fixtures

Great news for Liverpool, of course, but the season is far from over and with the race so tight, anything could happen.

The Reds probably have the hardest end to the season of the three clubs competing for fourth and fifth, but they do still have to play both Utd and Chelsea, and wins in both of those games would be huge.

Liverpool’s final four Premier League games 2025/26

Manchester United’s final four Premier League fixtures 2025/26

Chelsea’s final four Premier League fixtures 2025/26

Fifth place is not currently guaranteed to earn a team Champions League football in the Premier League, but as England rank high in UEFA’s coefficient, it likely will.

Click here to read article